Auswirkungen des DEAL auf das Publikationsverhalten | Bernhard Mittermaier | Jülich Forschungszentrum, Communication, May 17, 2021

In diesem Kommentar zum Discussion Paper von Haucap et al. (2021) über die Effekten von DEAL auf das Publikationsverhalten deutscher Autor:innen in Chemie-Zeitschriften und dessen wettbewerbsrechtliche Implikationen, werden Methodik und Ergebnisinterpretation der Studie kritisch analysiert.


Go to the profile of Pablo Markin
about 1 year ago

What this report and a comment to the working paper it discusses ( tentatively indicate is that, as a market intervention, the Project DEAL is ineffective, because it apparently fails to lead to a greater relative output increase in the treatment country, as opposed to the control ones, despite the percentage point differences that have been found. Furthermore, the apparently counter-intuitive mixed effect of the Project DEAL on smaller and larger publishers, such as a reduction in the market share of the latter between 2017 and 2020, e.g., key global players, might also stem from the likely downward impact it has had on the equilibrium price level in this market. Thus, it, as a sustainability-oriented market intervention, has likely limited the author-side demand in the higher-price segment, with regard to article processing charges' levels, as also reflected in the output of some players, such as Elsevier, while significantly raising the apparent publication demand in the lower-cost segment. Though, one can indeed argue that on average, this intervention has not necessarily had a significant influence on the overall, average output levels, it has likely increased demand elasticity, while introducing lock-in effects, such as for publishers that have concluded the deals with the university consortia under the auspices of the Project DEAL. Though this has likely also involved a zero-sum game between larger and smaller publishers, as Mittermaier (2021) suggests, it has not necessarily played out in favor of the larger market agents across the board.